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Other Things => ea => Clans & Communities => Championship 2013 => Topic started by: Ray on August 10, 2013, 07:03 PM

Title: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Ray on August 10, 2013, 07:03 PM
Am I the only one who's so amped about the prediction game, so much, that I start a topic about it? :D

Man, the standings are so tense, 67 points for the top 3 and even SPW on the 5th place is with 63, man... now I'm really nervous about it, because if I can't win the championship, at least I should get this one right. ;D

Maybe we could use this thread to like share our predicting strategy with each other? Maybe. I'll start, you guys copy me!

I personally (when I'm not doing it in the last 10 seconds) go through each player's TEL and TUS Classic statistics, looking for recent games, looking for breaks, trying to figure out how active they are in the leagues. I compare the statistics of the two players based on experience, recent games and believed knowledge (where I think they are on an imaginary ladder) and games against each other. I usually take playing style into account - for example, I consider myself a sort of a darksider, I like defensive gameplay, I like hiding and waiting out, but there are very aggressive players also, or intermediate players, like chuvash, who take this scheme in a totally different way.

Then I compare their current standings on EAC and TEL (if any) and current streaks, who they played against with what results and judge the outcome after that.

Considering that I'm leading the prediction game with HHC, I think this is a good strategy. :)

How do you predict? Just by guts or do you have any routine by which you make your predictions? Did I just give away the winning formula? :D I doubt, anyway, really good race we are having this year!
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: HHC on August 10, 2013, 07:11 PM
i go by guts, apparently my guts are ALMIGHTY!
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: SPW on August 10, 2013, 09:26 PM
100% instinct.
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Dulek on August 11, 2013, 08:34 AM
I predict all games score in 30 seconds, then click 'Save' and rarely change any prediction. But that's me. And to clarify - we've got 3 leaders atm. 8)
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: SPW on August 11, 2013, 09:19 AM
I bet for franz ;/ And all gamblers gets point, hah :D

this is like you beat AK with QT xd
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: DarkOne on August 11, 2013, 09:25 AM
http://www.2013.eac-wa.com/index.php?page=prediction_game

To make it easier to find for those who don't have the eac site in their bookmarks ;)
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Ray on August 11, 2013, 09:57 AM
And to clarify - we've got 3 leaders atm. 8)
We have got the same amount of points, but HHC and me predicted more scores than you, so that puts us in front.
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: HHC on August 11, 2013, 03:48 PM
Little reminder to predict the games for this week.

WIll be playing with Lales at 20gmt tonight, so dont wait till tomorrow ;)
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: SPW on August 11, 2013, 04:33 PM
Im a little bit dissapointed about the generel activity in the pg. It cost about 30 seconds per week and you can win money for doing almost nothing. Human are so lazy  :-X
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Ray on August 12, 2013, 12:54 PM
It costs at least 30 minutes for me, I put a lot of thought into it.

But, then again, like last year, I was too busy to remember it in time and I messed up and forgot. Good game. :(
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: barman on August 12, 2013, 01:17 PM
In the future you should perhaps consider making it possible to predict all the matchdays before the championship starts, people are less lazy when they have an opportunity to get the whole task done within one sitting ;d
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: SPW on August 12, 2013, 02:42 PM
It costs at least 30 minutes for me, I put a lot of thought into it.

But, then again, like last year, I was too busy to remember it in time and I messed up and forgot. Good game. :(

Too busy? But you even made a topic for it this week so I cant believe you forgot it.  :-X
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Crazy on August 12, 2013, 05:06 PM
Lol Ray, bad luck.. I feel sorry for you, you were so enthusiastic about it
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Random00 on August 12, 2013, 05:57 PM
In the future you should perhaps consider making it possible to predict all the matchdays before the championship starts, people are less lazy when they have an opportunity to get the whole task done within one sitting ;d

good idea, guess that would help quite a few players ^^
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: HHC on August 12, 2013, 06:31 PM
only 4 points behind ray, and we're only halfway. 4 points is easy to overcome in a single matchweek. Hang in there bud  ;)
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: SPW on August 13, 2013, 12:12 AM
you didnt realize that he lost the whole matchday? so it will be 15-20 points.  :-X
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Ray on August 13, 2013, 06:25 PM
It costs at least 30 minutes for me, I put a lot of thought into it.

But, then again, like last year, I was too busy to remember it in time and I messed up and forgot. Good game. :(

Too busy? But you even made a topic for it this week so I cant believe you forgot it.  :-X
Once we get something to do in the company and we have a deadline, we have to do it, which means we are in the office and we are thinking only about the project and doing it, it completely slips your mind during work. And yes, we were working through all Sunday until Monday morning, so yea... Sucks.
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: SPW on August 14, 2013, 05:16 AM
welcome to real life. Im like that year for year. This is life. Work or die.  :P
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Almog on August 14, 2013, 07:18 AM
of course you can study and study and live on scholarships ;)
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Crazy on August 14, 2013, 08:06 AM
of course you can study and study and live on scholarships ;)
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: SPW on August 14, 2013, 08:16 AM
you need also money when you become an opa. So study study study is limited and this aint the real life also. Students having a very good time and everyone should enjoy that. Once you start working, holidays are over.  ::)
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Almog on August 14, 2013, 10:07 PM
OR
you can work minimal, live in small apparment, dont own a car (use trains etc), and enjoy the simple life ;)
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Ray on August 15, 2013, 08:50 PM
I have a phone that costs more than my dad's car. What I'm trying to say is, f@#! simple life. :D
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Statik on August 15, 2013, 09:12 PM
why don't you buy a better car for your dad then :/
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Ray on August 16, 2013, 08:34 PM
why don't you buy a better car for your dad then :/
Because I don't give a flying f@#! about my dad, just like he does with me.
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Husk on August 17, 2013, 11:12 AM
don't take it out on us Ray O_รต
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Ray on August 17, 2013, 01:49 PM
He asked, I answered...

Looks like missing out these games created a huge gap between me and the leaders. :( Let's see how far I can push myself up on the ladder with handicap!
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: franz on August 27, 2013, 04:27 AM
Im a little bit dissapointed about the generel activity in the pg. It cost about 30 seconds per week and you can win money for doing almost nothing. Human are so lazy  :-X

Your Predictions (8 pending)

something like that, to remind when visiting the site, otherwise sometimes I guess if I've already done it, and it can be easy to forget sometimes without a warning because you think you already did it just from habit, when you actually haven't yet (if that makes any sense).

Also, perhaps for those who feel completely unmotivated to even try due to missing a week or starting late, maybe show a tally or something for 'Best Predictor This Week' to see if you can win a week instead of the whole thing. Maybe even a standings for that (dunno if this is getting to be too much though).

Just ideas that popped into my head :]
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: barman on September 08, 2013, 10:57 PM
I'm nailing matchday 10 so far ;D wish I hadn't been so lazy during the previous weeks!
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Ray on September 28, 2013, 02:44 PM
Im a little bit dissapointed about the generel activity in the pg. It cost about 30 seconds per week and you can win money for doing almost nothing. Human are so lazy  :-X

Your Predictions (8 pending)

something like that, to remind when visiting the site, otherwise sometimes I guess if I've already done it, and it can be easy to forget sometimes without a warning because you think you already did it just from habit, when you actually haven't yet (if that makes any sense).

Also, perhaps for those who feel completely unmotivated to even try due to missing a week or starting late, maybe show a tally or something for 'Best Predictor This Week' to see if you can win a week instead of the whole thing. Maybe even a standings for that (dunno if this is getting to be too much though).

Just ideas that popped into my head :]
Hey, these are great ideas! Actually, we have some plans that would involve several different "tallies", probably next year's championship.

I would like to show two different kinds of results. As we were discussing earlier about methods in predicting - or even having one - some of you might have thought I was crazy because of all the effort I put in. Let's compare:

This here is from the 3rd matchday, where I analyzed previously played games, TUS games, compared playing styles:

[attachment=1]

This, however, is from the 11th matchday, where, in lack of time, just voted instinctively:

[attachment=2]

Now, this could all just be luck and coincidence, but I really don't think so. :)
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Dulek on September 28, 2013, 05:32 PM
And me with my kinda speed predicting. :P Maybe I'm just lucky, but for 2nd time straight? Damn I should go pro with betting, make some real money. ;)

(http://i39.tinypic.com/2m7dq88.jpg)
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: SPW on September 28, 2013, 11:22 PM
(http://www.team-coldfusion.de/board/download/file.php?id=1904)

Nice head to head Dulek  8)
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Almog on September 29, 2013, 08:06 AM
wow O_O
Title: Re: EAC 2013 - Prediction Game
Post by: Ray on September 29, 2013, 01:38 PM
That's very nice Dulek. Amazing run with SPW for the first spot!