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Topics - Crazy

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31
Leagues Games Comments / Game #147839, reported by Kyho
« on: May 31, 2013, 11:26 PM »
HHC move @4.45 is so well executed, and that SS was a nice way to finish off the game, well played

32
Leagues Games Comments / Game #143333, reported by Crazy
« on: April 07, 2013, 03:33 PM »
Where's the map? ??? Check out dyna at 3.30, quite lucky

33
Leagues Games Comments / Game #143249, reported by NiCo`
« on: April 06, 2013, 02:25 PM »
Check out 17.00.. Worst missile of the season? I could not get view of here I was aiming :P

34
TUS Discussion / :(
« on: April 01, 2013, 12:14 AM »
I'm sure some of you heard the rumours already, and I'm here to confirm them once and for all: Yes, TUS site is closing. The domain is closing by the end of this week. I for one must say that I'm very saddened over all this. Not only by how and why it happened, but because this was the best league we've ever had. MI put up with the trashtalk for a long time, and I don't blame him for setting a line once and for all.

It's been five great years, and I particulary want to thank Darkone, MI and franz for their hard work. I also want to thank the community for the great time, it's been a long and fun journey! I don't know what the future brings, for me personally I think it is time to move on now. I hope WA and the community still have a bright future ahead.

35
I'd like to watch these games, but replays don't work!

36
Leagues Games Comments / Game #140858, reported by Sbaffo
« on: March 11, 2013, 08:16 PM »
Should've won this one ;X

37
Off Topic / Crazy's bettingcorner: 10K euros in one year
« on: March 09, 2013, 10:04 AM »
Hey guys!

The Norwegian season in soccer is about to kick off within a few weeks time, and some matches are already being played in the lower divisions. Many people believe that beating the bookmaker and making a profit on gambling is impossible. I want to show you throughout 2013 that this is utterly bullshit. Beating the bookmaker is possible when you play at odds which is incorrectly set and gives you value over time. I will even show you how you can make a profit of approximately 10 000 euros. So first of all, how do you find odds that is incorrectly set?

My friend is very interested in soccer, and especially Norwegian soccer. He knows everything there is to know about all the teams in the 2nd, 3rd and even 4th division in Norway. He has a wide network of contacts, and they provide him with information about injuries, suspensions, form and so on. He's also very familiar with the different types of venues. So, we bet on matches where WE have better knowledge then the bookmaker. This is lower league Norwegian games, and it is difficult for the oddssetters to get the information about changes in the team before we get it.

I had a bankrollmanagement project running throughout last season on our predictions. I wanted to check which type of management that was the most profitable, and risk of ruin equal to zero. I landed on the type "flat bet" in the end, where I bet 4% of the bankroll on each bet every time. Other type of strategies that were tested was Kelly, half kelly, 1/4 kelly and 1-10 units.

So, the bankroll I started with in this BRM-project was 10 000 NOK (Norwegian Kroner), which is about 1350 euros/1750 dollars. The goal for this year is to increase the roll in the range of ca 9400 euros/12300 dollars. To do so, it is highly important that this bankroll is not being withdrawn from. It is also important to have an account at Moneybookers or Neteller in order to transfer money quickly and safely from one bookmaker to another. You must also have accounts on Nordicbet, Betsafe, Unibet and Bet365. The first prediction I'm posting is a bet offered at Betsafe only.

Here is the first prediction:
Sport: Soccer
League: Norwegian Cupqualifiers
Match: Skotfoss-Herkules
Bet: Over 4.5 goals
Odds: 2.02
Bookmaker: Betsafe
Stake: 4%
Stake of bankroll: 54 euros/70 dollars
Date/time: 17.03.13 13.00

Home team Skotfoss played over 4.5 in 24 out of 26 matches last season. Herkules played over 4.5 in 14 out of 26 matches. Being offered this odds is a big surprise considering Skotfoss very weak defense. These two teams played in the same division last year, but Skotfoss relegated with clear margin and is now in the 4th division in Norway. The meetings last season ended 5-0 and 7-0 to Herkules. Herkules is not as strong as they were last season as they've lost a few players, but they're still far better then homeside. This is the first match of the season for both teams, we should expect lots of goals and 2.02 is well payed. I give this bet a 60% chance to win, and odds shouldn't be any higher then 1.7 here. I expect this odds to drop quick today and advice to play it as early as possible.

38
Leagues Games Comments / Game #140395, reported by daiNa
« on: March 06, 2013, 11:57 AM »
Oh god, who made this map? Trying to get an early candidate for worst elite map of 2013?

39
Tryout / Looking for new members (TdC)
« on: March 02, 2013, 08:07 PM »
TdC is searching for new members to the clan. We want to keep being active in TUS and to enjoy clanners with old and newborn clans. Read the tryout description if you want to join us! I'd like to add these qualifications that you must meet if you want to join:

- You must be polite. This means no insulting and unnecessary swearing or bullying of others.
- You must have respect to other members (including newbies).
- We want continuity in TdC and loyalty to the clan is an important value for us.
- You can not be italian


TdC is currently existing of 27 members, but only 3 are active in league. We are open to let in 3-4 new members.

40
There's a lot of players from Chile, Brazil, Argentina and mainly South America. They're actually keeping this league alive I'd say. The other large group of players descend from eastern europe, especially Russia. Why is this? If we look to the States, you can really name all players in one hand, and they all started playing either in the late 90's or early 00's. USA is not contributing with any new faces to this game, atleast not anyone that sticks around. Same goes with the UK.

How come new players descend from certain parts of the world? Why is Worms particulary so popular in Chile?

41
Leagues Games Comments / Game #139071, reported by lacoste
« on: February 20, 2013, 07:51 PM »
Nice game, everyone had really impressive hits besides Komo. What's up Komo? Rusty? xD You've won 232 out of 235 BnG's, which means you've lost close to 1% of your games.. This is kinda a shocking victory :o

42
Leagues Games Comments / Game #138717, reported by HHC
« on: February 17, 2013, 12:53 AM »
Your turn order confuses me ^^ I guess this was the deciding game? Gj though HHC, beating MI over five games in T17 is not easy but I can say the exact same thing for MI, beating HHC over five games is not easy :) You got your revenge and I'm proud of you HHC, you've been one of the best players in this scheme for so many years

43
Leagues Games Comments / Game #138715, reported by HHC
« on: February 17, 2013, 12:39 AM »
What's your secret to avoid getting plopped by earthquakes HHC? I want to learn that

44
Leagues Games Comments / Game #137641, reported by Impossible
« on: February 04, 2013, 09:21 PM »
I've lost 76% of my last 50 TTRR's :( Can someone teach me how to roperace? Also I haven't played vs MonkeyIsland since 22. april 2012.. Is there still a reason to live?

45
Move of the week: 20.14 in last replay :p

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