Quote from: DarkOne on May 05, 2011, 12:17 PM
It's not uncommon 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
Ok so basically, i've stated I love smoking, I think it's great, I don't think cigs are as bad as people make them out to be, and statistically more things kill than smokers/smoke from cigarettes, that's up to me to think that ok? (except the last one, which is actually true).
Then d1 is getting all cocky and smartass by posting what he's posted, acting all smart posting links with research that still doesn't take anything away from my opinion, he's wrong because he cannot give any evidence whatsoever that more people die from smoking/smoke related illnesses etc than anything else in our present existence.
I've already said I know smoking is "bad" because yes, it can be harmful to your body, it definately makes your breath smell like shit, but only to those who really really hate the smell of smoke, some people like it, I like it, whenever I smell someone who reeks of smoke, I gotta smoke it's that good! Whenever I see someone in a film or TV program I am watching light up a cig, guess what, I light one up to it's like, hell yeah, gimme one of those bad boys!
If you can give me 100% undeniable, and plausible proof, that smoking/2nd hand smoke, and cigarette related illnesses cause more people to die than, natural causes, accidents, other illnesses which have nothing to do with smoking/2nd hand smoke and cigarette related illnesses, pollution, natural disasters and the list goes on and on and on and on and on and on and on etc etc etc, (which you can't lol) then I swear, I will do ANYTHING you want, you name it, i'll do it.
Hate smoking all you want, but don't lie about it lol.
And lol:
Kruger and Dunning proposed that, for a given skill, incompetent people will:
1. tend to overestimate their own level of skill;
2. fail to recognize genuine skill in others;
3. fail to recognize the extremity of their inadequacy;
4. recognize and acknowledge their own previous lack of skill, if they can be trained to substantially improve.
I know I pass this thing cuz I know I can always improve at everything, always, I always compliment others and constantly notice skill and talent in others and ALWAYS advise people to never give up, I am stubborn, obviously, I will defend myself with everything in my power and when I have indeniable proof, not just a theory and some clever words put together, that I am wrong, I will accept that/admit that, and try to see where I went wrong so I can learn.
Ok but the last one, I don't get, isn't recognising and acknowledging your own previous lack of skill, and trying to train and improve that, a good thing?
What's wrong with knowing you are better than you were before? Yet still knowing you can still improve, or am I reading it wrong?
Shouldn't it be, fail to recognize and acknowledge, if they can be trained to substantially improve?
That is actually quite interesting D1
Users
If I could not work with statistics, I would not have been able to function in my job, because there's no such thing as 100% certainty in my job.
