The team that ends up winning EC is quite often off to a bad start early on.
2008: spain won 4:1 against russia in first game
2004 greece won 2:1 against portugal in first game
2000 france won 3:0 against denmark in first game
1996 germany won 2:0 against the czech republic in first game
1992 denmark played 0:0 against england in first game
1988 netherlands won 3.1 against england in first game
1984 france won 1:0 against denmark in first game
1980 germany won 1:0 against the cssr in first game
seems like you are wrong bard